Archive for February, 2009 Page 2 of 4



Housing secretary defends Obama foreclosure plan

CNN – February 22, 2009


The Obama administration’s efforts to help struggling homeowners will aid “responsible” borrowers, not deadbeats or speculators, Housing Secretary Shaun Donovan said Sunday.


President Barack Obama announced the plan Wednesday, saying it will help up to 9 million people keep their homes in a housing market ravaged by foreclosures. But critics, including several leading Republicans and some commentators, said the $75 billion proposal will unfairly help some people at the expense of others.


White House spokesman Robert Gibbs acknowledged Friday that some people who made “bad decisions” might end up getting help under the proposal. But Donovan, Obama’s secretary of housing and urban development, told CNN’s “State of the Union” on Sunday that “there are no ‘flippers,’ investor-owners or scammers that are eligible for this program.”


“We’re going check everybody’s income when they come into this program. We’re going to make sure that people are paying their bills. And more than anything, we’re targeting the folks who are playing by the rules,” Donovan said.


The administration’s proposal would make it easier for homeowners to afford their monthly payments either by refinancing the mortgages or having their loans modified. And it would vastly broaden the scope of the government rescue by focusing on homeowners who are still current in their payments but at risk of default. Read more about the plan


South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford, a Republican who also has criticized the administration’s stimulus package, called the mortgage plan “a horrible idea.”


“About 95 percent of folks are playing by the rules and struggling, but still paying their mortgages. The idea that somebody down the street gets a different system, I think, is ultimately something that’s going to undermine a whole lot of other folks with regard to paying their mortgage,” Sanford told “Fox News Sunday.”


In particular, he singled out a provision that would allow judges to modify or reduce the principal of loans for borrowers in bankruptcy — an idea Sanford called “incredibly dangerous for the precedent it sets.”


But Donovan told CBS’s “Face the Nation” that judges already have that power for second homes or vacation homes.


“It’s only for people who have one home and are living in it or are in trouble where you can’t have a modification of that loan in bankruptcy,” he said. But he said the administration would limit the plan to existing loans, not future ones, and considered it a “last resort.”


“There seems to be growing consensus that this is an important part of the solution,” he said.


About $50 billion of the money would come from the $700 billion financial industry bailout package, a senior administration official said Friday. Nationalized mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will contribute more than $20 billion to the loan modification program, mainly to subsidize interest rates so troubled borrowers’ monthly payments can be lowered to affordable levels.


But those companies are on shaky financial ground themselves and are expected to report billions in losses in the next week or two. To stabilize them, the foreclosure prevention program calls for doubling their lines of credit with the federal government to $200 billion each.


Donovan said 45 percent of home sales in December were “distressed,” meaning either sellers were facing foreclosure or the homes were already seized by the bank, driving down home prices further in an already-battered market.


“We’ve got to make clear, here, that a foreclosure hurts every American,” he told CNN.


In releasing his proposal Wednesday, Obama said it would help both responsible homeowners suffering from falling home prices and borrowers either at risk of or already in default. But it does virtually nothing for the unemployed, who often don’t have enough income to make any reasonable monthly payment affordable. And since it relies more heavily on lowering interest rates than on reducing principal, it does little for borrowers concerned their homes will never recoup their value.


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Obama gambles $275bn on housing

The Sunday Business Post – February 22, 2009


Just one day after signing a $787 billion economic stimulus package into law last week, President Barack Obama turned his attention directly to the housing crisis – and committed another $275 billion of taxpayers’ money in an effort to solve the problem.

About 10 percent of mortgages in the US are either delinquent or have already entered the foreclosure process. If that trend were to continue, the consequences would be dismal, with six million families at risk of losing their homes in the next three years.

Obama announced his plans to reverse that scenario in Phoenix, Arizona – one of the cities worst hit by the property crisis. Housing values there have fallen by 43 per cent from their 2006 peak.‘‘We will help between seven and nine million families restructure or refinance their mortgages, so they can avoid foreclosure,” Obama said.

‘‘And we are not just helping homeowners at risk of falling over the edge. We are preventing their neighbours from being pulled over that edge too, as defaults and foreclosures contribute to sinking home values, failing local businesses and lost jobs.”

The president’s plan has two main components. It makes refinancing easier both for borrowers who are already delinquent and for those who are still up-to-date with their payments, but experiencing financial distress. It also provides extra funds to the giant mortgage companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, in an effort to thaw the market more generally.

For those in danger of foreclosure, Obama is proposing that lenders should find a way to reduce monthly repayments to 38 per cent of the borrower’s gross income. If that were accomplished, the government would then come in to subsidise a further reduction, down to 31 per cent.

There are additional ‘carrots’ for lenders and borrowers. Lenders would get $1,000 for each loan modified, and would also have the potential to get another $1,000 in fees per mortgage every year for another three years under a so-called ‘pay for success’ arrangement.

As for borrowers, the government would pay down the principal amount they owe by $1,000 per year for five years, so long as they stick to the terms of the refinanced mortgage. Borrowers struggling with a mortgage that is worth more than their house as a result of falling prices also have some possibility of relief.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which are government-controlled and together stand behind about half the mortgages in the US, are currently prohibited from refinancing mortgages if the borrower has not built up at least 20 per cent equity.

Obama is loosening that restriction, to enable refinancing to be offered when the mortgage in question is worth up to 105 percent of the home’s current value.

Critics note that this automatically excludes Americans whose mortgages are not backed by Fannie and Freddie, and that even the new 105 percent clause will still disqualify millions of homeowners, because home values have fallen so precipitously.

Reaction to the plan has been mixed. There are the usual partisan divisions between Republicans and Democrats, and between economists who argue that the proposal amounts to either too little or too much government intervention.

But there also appears to be a groundswell of dissatisfaction that taxpayers who have behaved responsibly by taking out an affordable mortgage and repaying it on time will, in effect, be obliged to bail out those who behaved more recklessly.

A great deal now depends on whether Obama’s broader argument – that foreclosures hurt house prices throughout a neighbourhood, reducing home values for the diligent and delinquent alike – can carry the day.


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Rick Santelli hits a nerve and people are lining up for their bailout


In case you haven’t seen it here’s the Chicago Tea Party video by Rick Santelli.

I live in a pretty wealthy area full of nice houses where the median price is around $1M, which to date has been pretty insulated from the housing price downturn.

So it was more than a little surprising to hear that some people in our area are lining up to get a bailout on their loans – some of which are Negative Amortization  Interest Only loans.  Whether or not they’ll be successful is questionable since the Refinance option is only for Fannie and Freddie owned conforming mortgages – however the Loan Modification component looks like it may help anyone.  We have heard stories of people in this area getting their Jumbo(> $729K loans) written down to 3-4% for 30 years and in some cases principle reductions.  Here’s the executive summary for the Homeowner Affordability and Stability Plan.

Most Americans are current on their mortgages and are paying their debts – many of them have taken big hits to their retirement savings account and other investments.   I understand the idea that you want to prevent the blight of foreclosed houses in areas where there are no buyers.  However in towns like ours and many others that are attractive to people – there are plenty of buyers out there – many of whom have been renting due to the recent housing bubble.  By subsidizing people who bought houses they can’t afford – we are perpetuating artificially high housing prices and rewarding poor decision making and supporting the heads I win / tails you lose philosophy that promulgated excessive risk taking by Wall Street and Sub Prime borrowers.  It’s the same problem – people saw no downside and if we use tax payer dollars to pay down million dollar mortgages – we are just continuing the problem.

If we allow markets to hit and clear at their natural prices – then we’ll create sustainable communities and healthy markets.  If we do otherwise we create all kinds of incentive problems and turn everyone into a welfare seeker that is focused on how to get their bailout vs.  how to contribute constructively to society.  Some people may “lose” their homes (which in many cases they don’t have equity in), but people need somewhere to live so investors will buy the houses and then rent them back out for a profit, which brings private capital back into the markets – so people shouldn’t be homeless they just won’t “own” taxpayer subsidized houses.

What do you think?

Rick Santelli’s Shout Heard ‘Round the World

CNBC – Feb 20, 2009


CNBC’s Rick Santelli called for a “Chicago Tea Party” Thursday, leading the charge for calls to revolt against the Obama Administration’s mortgage bailout plan (see video below).


The clip has gone viral on the Internet, bringing with it loads of opinions, both pro and con.


And CNBC.com’s The Heat is back for the occasion, asking “Should America Join Santelli’s Tea Party?”


Santelli was back in action Friday (watch the video), and even the White House mentioned him directly in response to questions about the bailout — not once, not twice, but NINE times … and even invited Rick to the White House for coffee. Not tea, mind you.


Watch the original shout heard ’round the world in the following video clip. Then read what others are saying about it.


See full article with video here…


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Home of Dallas man, 79, saved from foreclosure by mortgage broker

Dallas News - February 15, 2009


Forrest Brannon has great faith in God, but it was sorely tested recently when he faced losing his Dallas home to foreclosure. Brannon, a 79-year-old veteran, said his mortgage payment more than doubled in a year from $379 a month to more than $800 because of late fees and an increase in the adjustable interest rate.


He got behind on his mortgage and then received a notice of impending foreclosure.


Texas’ fast-track foreclosure process, which is the quickest in the country, left Brannon with only about a month to save his home.


But that was enough time for John Thurston, a mortgage broker at Acceptance Capital Mortgage Corp. in Dallas, to get involved.


After reading about Brannon in The Dallas Morning News in December, Thurston contacted Brannon and offered to help.


Brannon’s home had been set for a foreclosure sale Jan. 6, but Thurston got that extended to Feb. 3. He got another extension to Feb. 10.


In the meantime, Brannon obtained a reverse mortgage from the federal government’s Home Equity Conversion Mortgage program and paid off his original mortgage.


The program enables seniors who are homeowners to tap their home’s equity through a lump sum, a monthly amount or a line of credit.


Under the program, the borrower doesn’t have to repay the reverse mortgage until he moves, sells the home or dies.


When the loan must be paid, the borrower or the heirs will owe no more than the value of the home if they sell it to repay the loan.


The best part about Brannon’s situation is that while his new loan totaled about $54,000 – short of the estimated $73,000 he owed on his mortgage – First Franklin Loan Services, which processed Brannon’s mortgage payments, agreed to accept a reduced payoff, Thurston said.


So Brannon “will never have to make another payment on his mortgage,” he said.


“All he has to do is to make sure he keeps insurance in force on his property and pay any taxes that are due,” Thurston said.


First Franklin spokesman Bill Halldin said privacy concerns prevent him from commenting on Brannon’s case specifically.


“Generally, we attempt to work in all situations to reach a resolution whenever possible that allows the homeowner to remain in their home,” he said.


Brannon said he’ll be forever grateful to Thurston.


“John did his Christian, American duty, and I haven’t had to give him any money,” he said.


“This is the way America was established. We are helpers of one another,” he said.


Brannon said he knew God would take care of him.


“If I’m to keep the house, the Lord will make a way,” he said.


“If I’m not able to keep it, the Lord will have something else for me.”


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HUD now offers reverse mortgages

Bradenton Herald - February 16, 2009




HUD recently announced that it is now offering for the first time reverse mortgages for purchasing a home.


This is phenomenal news to the Florida market as the reverse mortgage program has always targeted those older than 62 years of age, but only acted as a refinance to allow homeowners with equity to stay in their homes and avoid having monthly mortgage payments.


The program now has taken the next step to allow seniors to buy with equity from the sale of an existing home or savings, combined with an amount determined by age and equity in the new home. This again provides the ability to live in the new home without a mortgage payment. You will need to check with your local specialist to review your exact situation and to determine if you are eligible.



Basically, the program allows seniors 62 years of age or older to purchase a new primary home and combine a reverse mortgage simultaneously with no monthly payments. For those without enough of a down payment, the program will allow you to combine your own proceeds with the reverse mortgage proceeds, which again are based on the formula FHA uses for the program.


Reverse mortgages are a government-insured program provided through FHA. Eligible properties include HUD-approved condominiums, single-family homes and multi-family homes as long as one unit is owner-occupied. It also includes manufactured homes built after June 15, 1976, and planned unit developments.


The program is designed for primary homes only. No second homes or investment properties will be allowed. The program will not allow seller financing nor second mortgages. You will need to review the guidelines with a reverse mortgage expert to be sure this program works for you.


This is an exciting program for those seniors seeking to move to the Sunshine State, as well as for those here who may want to downsize. You can find more by going online to FHA at: www.hud.gov/offices/hsg/sfh/hecm/rmtopten.cfm. .


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A Florida Court’s ‘Rocket Docket’ Blasts Through Foreclosure Cases

The Wall Street Journal - February 18, 2009


FORT MYERS, Fla. — Hoping to save her house, Saundra Hill Scott arrived at the county courthouse clutching dog-eared mortgage bills and letters from her lender.


She need not have bothered. The foreclosure hearing lasted less than 20 seconds, with Judge John Carlin asking her two questions: Are you current on your mortgage and are you living in the home? She answered no and yes and then offered to show him her paperwork.


“I don’t need to see that. That’s between you and the bank,” he said as he gave Ms. Hill Scott, her husband and three grandchildren 60 days to work out a deal with their lender or vacate their three-bedroom house.


While the Obama administration prepares to unveil on Wednesday its plan to rescue the U.S. housing market, officials here in Lee County have come up with their own unique plan for dealing with the crisis. To clear a huge backlog of foreclosures, judges are hearing “rocket dockets” of nearly 1,000 cases a day and calling retired colleagues back to the bench to help ease the workload.


The housing crisis has been pounding the Florida court system like a Category 5 hurricane. Not only does the state have among the highest default rates in the country, its legal system, unlike many other states with devastated housing markets, requires judges to sign off on foreclosures. The combination has created a monster glut of cases that are overwhelming the courts. The Obama plan to encourage more loan modifications nationally may stem the flood of foreclosures in Florida somewhat, but Lee County officials say that the area’s large number of unemployed residents and housing speculators may end up losing their properties anyway.


Hard-Hit County

Charlie Green, Lee County’s clerk of the circuit courts, says the county is still on pace in February to exceed new filings in January and there’s a hearing on Thursday with 800 foreclosure cases. “All these plans that the government has come up with are great,” says Mr. Green. “But it doesn’t help us get these cases off our books.”


No area has been hit harder than Lee County, a largely working-class and second-home enclave, where Ponce de León is believed to have wandered in search of gold and conquest in the 16th century.


Modern-day treasure seekers invaded this area during the recent housing boom, snapping up houses and parcels of land, hoping to flip them to retirees and working families. Millionaire University, an unaccredited program in nearby Cape Coral, taught speculators from around the country how to buy and sell properties for huge profits. From 2000 to 2005, house prices in Cape Coral more than doubled.


Two years ago, the Lee County court system had about 1,900 foreclosure cases on the books. That number swelled to 24,000 by the beginning of this year. “We have to move these cases out of here,” says Mr. Green. “That’s how we get these houses back on the market and get to the bottom faster.”


Many defendants in Fort Myers are speculators who never lived in the houses and don’t bother to show up for the hearings or respond to court summonses. But some of the homeowners who do come to court are annoyed that they’re given only a few seconds to speak to the judge.


“The judge didn’t want to hear from me,” said a frustrated Reed Morgan, a self-employed business consultant, wearing loafers and a blue oxford shirt, after Judge Carlin gave him 60 days to work out a modification plan with his lender or vacate his three-bedroom house.


Minutes after the bailiff opened the courtroom doors at a recent hearing, every seat was filled with delinquent homeowners: a mechanic with two pierced ears and a goatee, a young woman in a car-rental uniform, a gray-haired landlord who rehearsed his lines with the woman next to him.


“It’s like the Exodus,” said Ms. Hill Scott, a middle-school teacher who went into default after her monthly payments on her adjustable-rate mortgage reset. She now owes $3,300 a month, up from the $1,600 she was paying a year ago. She says she hasn’t made a mortgage payment since January 2008 and is in negotiations with her lender seeking a modification.


During a break in the hearing, lawyers used dollies to wheel in boxes containing hundreds of case files, which they piled onto tables and on the floor.


One lawyer, wearing a dark suit and untucked white shirt ran between the judge’s bench and the dozens of open boxes on the floor. His colleagues sat cross-legged on the courtroom floor, sorting through files.


The judge signed dozens of them without discussion and passed them to a row of court employees to process the paperwork.


“Case No. 136,” the clerk intoned. “Wells Fargo versus Edward Callahan.”


Judge Carlin asked whether the man was living in the house and was current on his mortgage. He answered no to both questions.


“Your house will be sold in 45 days,” said the judge. “That’s all for today.”


Case time: 15 seconds.


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U.S. and UK on brink of debt disaster ?

http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2009/01/20/us-and-uk-on-brink-of-debt-disaster/

This is along the lines of the Barron’s interview. Private indebtedness increased 300% faster than GDP from 1970 on. Total public and private sector debt is over 355% of GDP. This debt cannot be serviced out of current cash flow; we either need to restructure the debt on a massive level (bankruptcies, refinancing of short term to long term debt) or inflate so nominal GDP increases fast enough to service existing debt.

Still, given the commodities induced inflation scare in the middle of ’08, the path of inflation might not be a given or a free lunch either. High inflation would probably squeeze margins for companies in the face of weak demand and increase the amount of money needed for living expenses, leaving less for debt servicing by consumers.

I imagine the Fed really is trying to walk a fine line between deflation and inflation. Either course would wreck the economy for years to come. However, the Fed will feel real pressure from congress. What congress wants is another matter altogether. Treasury and the administration I think understands that you can’t keep gorging banks on loans to get it out of this mess. That’s why the Geithner TARP revamp didn’t have specific requirements for increased bank lending from government money. But they’re hesitant to take decisive action on this. People know some of the largest banks are insolvent but we’re still playing the Fannie and Freddie game of last summer with them. Congress of course wants increased lending and wants Fannie and Freddie and FHA to swallow or guarantee every defaulting loan out there and for the Fed to drive mortgage rates down to 0. The administration also had to reign in their own party in the overreaching salary caps put into the economic stimulus bill.

The question is not just economic anymore, but also political so I don’t know if massive private bankrupcties will be tolerated well either. I think I heard something like 2000 economists signed a letter against Smoot-Hawley during the great depression but that peice of protectionism went through anyway.

What’s your vote – deflation or inflation or do we get a series of bankruptcies and write downs first?

Courtesy of Yi

Too Big to Fail

PBS Bill Moyer’s Journal – February 13, 2009


On Tuesday, February 10, 2009 Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner unveiled the Obama administration’s plan to address the crisis in the financial sector. The strategy he outlined calls for the largest Federal intervention in banks and finance since the Great Depression, flooding as much as $2.5 trillion into the system. Given its size and scope — the bill’s lack of detail drew a widely negative response from analysts and economists.


Although he thinks the details are important, Simon Johnson, Professor of Economics at MIT, worries more that Geithner and the Obama administration won’t address a big underlying problem and be tough enough on the politically powerful banking lobby.


Too Big To Fail?
Johnson explains to Bill Moyers on the JOURNAL that the U.S. financial system reminds him more of the embattled emerging markets he encountered in his time with the International Monetary Fund than that of a developed nation. As such, Johnson believes that the U.S. financial system needs a “reboot,” breaking up the biggest banks, in some cases firing management and wiping out shareholder value. Johnson tells Bill Moyers that such a move wouldn’t be popular with the powerful banking lobby: “I think it’s quite straightforward, in technical or economic terms. At the same time I recognize it’s very hard politically.”

Without drastic action, Johnson argues, taxpayers are merely subsidizing a wealthy powerful industry without forcing necessary systemic changes: “Taxpayer money is ensuring their bonuses. We’re making sure that banks survive. And eventually, of course, the economy will turn around. Things will get better. The banks will be worth a lot of money. And they will cash out. And we will be paying higher taxes, we and our children, will be paying higher taxes so those people could have those bonuses. That’s not fair. It’s not acceptable. It’s not even good economics.”

Johnson expands these arguments on his blog, THE BASELINE SCENARIO:

“[W]eakening the big banks and their bosses should not be seen as an unfortunate side effect of beneficial medicine. It is exactly what we need to do under these circumstances. Unless and until these banks’ economic and political influence declines, we are stuck with too many people who know exactly what they can get away with because their organizations are “too big to fail.”

And weakening these banks (or actually having some of them go out of business and be broken up) as part of a comprehensive system reboot – with asset revaluations at market prices and a complete recapitalization program – will help return the credit system to normal.


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Long Lines for Social Security Recipients

US News & World Report - February 13, 2009


Baby boomer retirement and a “retirement wave” of experienced Social Security Administration (SSA) employees could create long lines and unanswered phone calls, according to a recent report. The Government Accountability Office (GAO) found that staffing in Social Security field offices dropped 4.4 percent from 2005 to 2008. To keep up, the staff deferred some lower priority work. But field office work produced still fell by 1.3 percent during the same period and customer satisfaction dropped from 84 percent to 81 percent.


More than 3 million customers who went to a field office to apply for Social Security cards, sign up for retirement and disability benefits, or establish direct deposit waited for over 1 hour to be served in fiscal year 2008, including approximately 405,000 people who waited more than 2 hours for service. Those with appointments waited significantly less time. Many customers also reported poor office phone service. SSA’s Field Office Caller Survey found that 51 percent of customers calling selected field offices had at least one earlier call that had gone unanswered. That number could be even higher because only customers who eventually got through to the field office were included in the survey.


Field office managers and staff told GAO that they cannot keep up with their work. When an office is under stress, some types of work are deferred including changes of address, updates to direct deposit information, and conducting reviews of beneficiaries’ continuing eligibility. Delaying these reviews means that beneficiaries who no longer qualify for benefits may still erroneously receive payments.


And yet the SSA workload is expected to increase. In fiscal year 2008, approximately 1,300 field offices provided service to about 44 million customers. SSA estimates that retirement and disability filings will increase the agency’s work by about 1 million annual claims by 2017. The agency also projects that 44 percent of its staff will retire by 2016.


SSA published a strategic plan in September 2008, which calls for the elimination of the backlog of disability hearings and efforts to increase online retirement filings. You can watch one of SSA’s TV spots featuring actress Patty Duke promoting signing up for Social Security online here.


See the full article…


Find more information on the new online Social Security application here.


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