Yahoo Finance, March 25th, 2010
Relief to seniors facing high prescription drug costs is one of the
first changes to come under the new health care overhaul. But ultimately
that won’t offset the relentless increase in retirees’ medical
expenses.
A couple retiring this year will need a
quarter of a million dollars, on average, to cover medical expenses in
retirement, according to a study to be released Thursday by
The
estimate is up 4.2 percent from Fidelity’s projection last year. The
Boston-based financial services company has updated its estimate
annually since 2002 as part of its business helping employers design
workplace benefits programs.
The study is based on projections for
a couple of 65-year-olds retiring this year with Medicare coverage. The
estimate factors in the federal program’s premiums, co-payments and
deductibles, as well as out-of-pocket prescription costs. The study
assumes no employer provided insurance in retirement, and a life
expectancy of 85 for women and 82 for men.
The estimate has risen
56 percent from Fidelity’s initial $160,000 projection in 2002. The
average annual increase has been 5.7 percent, so this year’s 4.2 percent
rise — from $240,000 last year to $250,000 — is modest.
But
with broader inflation now near zero amid a recession, health care costs
continue to rise faster than other expenses, said Sunit Patel, a senior
vice president at Fidelity.
The findings illustrate the
importance of factoring in health care alongside housing, food and other
expenses in retirement planning.
“It turns out to be a surprise
for many, and one of the largest expenses in retirement,” Patel said.
The
increase in this year’s estimate was relatively small because a surge
in patent expirations for brand-name drugs meant many cheaper generic
versions reached the market, Patel said. That helped limit out-of-pocket
prescription costs.
Fidelity’s estimate doesn’t factor in most
dental services, or long-term care, such as costs from living in a
nursing home. A 2008 study by Fidelity estimated a 65-year-old couple
would need $85,000 on average to cover insurance costs for long-term
care in retirement.
Thursday’s study also didn’t account for the
health care overhaul that President
into law Tuesday. Fidelity was updating its 2010 estimate before
legislative details were clear, Patel said.
The law’s focus is
expanding access to people under age 65. But it also would benefit many
retirees by gradually closing what’s known as the “doughnut hole”
coverage gap in the Medicare drug benefit. Seniors fall into that hole
once they spend $2,830 per year. The legislation would begin narrowing
the gap by providing a $250 rebate this year. The gap would be fully
closed by 2020, when seniors would still be responsible for 25 percent
of the cost of their medications until Medicare’s catastrophic coverage
kicks in.
NewRetirement Retirement Calculator: Can your retirement finances sustain a quarter-million dollar health care tab? Consider looking at the overall state of your retirement using the NewRetirement Retirement Calculator.

