Archive for May, 2010 Page 2 of 5



How Will Medicare Costs Be Cut?

The New York Times, May 20th, 2010

The law will reduce payments to Medicare by $500 billion over the
next 10 years, and the cost will be paid for by reducing “waste and
fraud.” Does the law say how this will be done? — Bob Frishman

Although “waste” is a word open to interpretation, there are several
ways that the new health law will trim the Medicare program over the
next 10 years. One of the biggest — and most widely publicized — is a
reduction in payments to the Medicare Advantage plans that about a
quarter of Medicare beneficiaries belong to. The Congressional Budget
Office estimates that bringing the private plan payments into line with
those of traditional Medicare will mean a savings of $136 billion over
10 years. Consumer advocates and policy experts agree that the cuts
will lead to changes: some plans will likely shut down entirely, while
others may no longer offer some of the extras, like gym memberships or
vision and dental coverage, that they currently make available.

Roughly $200 billion will be cut by reducing payment increases to
hospitals, nursing homes, home health agencies and other providers, said
David Certner, legislative policy director for AARP. Payment increases
will be tied to productivity and quality improvements. “We think these
cuts won’t harm the program,” he said.

There are several initiatives that are intended to fight Medicare
fraud and abuse, but they are not generally big-ticket items. They
include data-sharing arrangements to identify fraudulent providers more
effectively, increased background checks and a national provider
prescreening program. The law also requires providers and suppliers to
establish compliance programs and increases the penalties for filing
false claims.

Read more of this article.

Outliving Your Retirement Savings

San Francisco Chronicle, May 20th, 2010

There has been a shift over the last several decades in retirement.
In the golden age of retirement, many workers could look forward to a
defined-benefit pension plan formulated based on final pay and years of
service. With this guaranteed pension income in addition to social
security, there was little risk that lifestyles would be forced to
downsize in retirement. (Find out about one strategy to protect your
retirement income in Guaranteed Retirement Income – In Any Market.)

In
Pictures:
10
Retirement-Wrecking Moves

These days the picture is much
different. The defined-benefit pension is long extinct for most workers
and social security is on the ropes, with many expecting benefit
reductions. For the most part, workers are on their own to provide their
retirement income.

Despite this huge increase in
responsibility, the financial sophistication of the average American has
not increased to fill the gap. Depending on which figures you believe,
it may be that up to 50% of Americans are not saving enough for
retirement. Worse yet, many of the workers who don’t have enough don’t
know it. (Learn more in Is Social Security Set To Fail?)

How
Much You Need for Retirement
Over the years a number of
studies have been done to attempt to determine how much savings a
retiree can safely withdraw from their retirement accounts each year
without running out of money. This is known as the safe withdrawal rate.
Generally these studies have indicated that over a 30-year retirement,
it is often possible to withdraw about 4% per year from a diversified
portfolio of stocks and bonds.

This 4% safe withdrawal rate
figure has become the rule of thumb for determining whether your savings
are sufficient. So in order to get a rough idea of whether you will
have enough for retirement, you could simply multiply your desired level
of expenses by 25 (the inverse of 4%). So for example, if you wish to
withdraw $40,000 per year in retirement, you will require $1,000,000 in
savings when you retire. However, this rule of thumb will typically
overestimate the amount needed for retirement because it doesn’t take
into account the income your investments will be making during your
retirement.

Catching a Shortfall Early
When
it comes to the danger of outliving your retirement savings, catching
the situation early is key. With time on your side, smaller incremental
changes can usually mitigate off the risk of outliving your savings.

For example, if you realize your retirement funds are inadequate
early on, working a few extra years can make a huge difference. This is
the approach many workers are taking after the market crash. Working a
bit longer can help immensely for a couple of reasons. First, you can
save more money as you work through this time. Second, your retirement
investments should hopefully increase in value given this extra time.

Read more of this article.

Appropriation for reverse mortgage program unlikely says HUD official

Reverse Mortgage Daily, May 18th, 2010

A request for $250
million to support the Home Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM) program

will not likely be approved for the federal government’s fiscal 2011
budget, according to Vicki Bott, HUD’s deputy assistant secretary for
single family housing.

“We don’t expect an appropriation to happen,” Bott told RMD in a
recent, wide-ranging interview, timed to the departure of long-time HUD
figure, Meg Burns, who has left her position as director, FHA Office of
Single Family Program Development, after 19 years, to join the Federal
Housing Finance Agency.

As she headed out the door, Burns said the HECM program is “in a
difficult place right now,” a view shared by Bott. “Meg is right,” she
said, noting that the reverse mortgage program “was designed to be
self-sustaining without additional congressional appropriations,” and
that is proving untenable.

Without the aforementioned appropriation, Bott said the federal
agency will have to look at ways to make HECM a self-sustaining program,
at the same time exploring ways to solve some longstanding problems
such as tax-and-insurance defaults and seniors’ financial qualification
for reverse mortgages.

On T&I, “I think there’s a balance [needed] to give seniors
enough time to figure out how to pay or sell the property and find
alternative living arrangements,” said Bott, adding that “hopefully
within 30 days we can talk more specifically” about the government’s
intent. “Some finite amount of time will be set [after which] someone
has to take the financial risk.”

Read more of this article.

About Reverse Mortgages:  If this information is correct, it will drastically reduce the amount of money that homeowners qualify for in a reverse mortgage.  It may therefore be an excellent time to look into the possibilities of a Reverse Mortgage now, before its too late.

How Will Medicare Costs Be Cut?

The New York Times, May 18th, 2010

The law will reduce payments to Medicare by $500 billion over the
next 10 years, and the cost will be paid for by reducing “waste and
fraud.” Does the law say how this will be done? — Bob Frishman

Although “waste” is a word open to interpretation, there are several
ways that the new health law will trim the Medicare program over the
next 10 years. One of the biggest — and most widely publicized — is a
reduction in payments to the Medicare Advantage plans that about a
quarter of Medicare beneficiaries belong to. The Congressional Budget
Office estimates that bringing the private plan payments into line with
those of traditional Medicare will mean a savings of $136 billion over
10 years. Consumer advocates and policy experts agree that the cuts
will lead to changes: some plans will likely shut down entirely, while
others may no longer offer some of the extras, like gym memberships or
vision and dental coverage, that they currently make available.

Roughly $200 billion will be cut by reducing payment increases to
hospitals, nursing homes, home health agencies and other providers, said
David Certner, legislative policy director for AARP. Payment increases
will be tied to productivity and quality improvements. “We think these
cuts won’t harm the program,” he said.

There are several initiatives that are intended to fight Medicare
fraud and abuse, but they are not generally big-ticket items. They
include data-sharing arrangements to identify fraudulent providers more
effectively, increased background checks and a national provider
prescreening program. The law also requires providers and suppliers to
establish compliance programs and increases the penalties for filing
false claims.

Although there are cuts to the program, there are investments, too,
said Mr. Certner. These include closing the Medicare prescription drug
doughnut hole, adding free preventive care for Medicare beneficiaries
and improving pay for primary care doctors.

Read more of this article.

How to Find Affordable Long-Term Care

US News & World Report, May 17th, 2010

A prolonged illness or chronic condition could end up being one of
your biggest retirement expenses. Medicare pays for a maximum of 100
days of nursing home care before
retirees must absorb the remaining cost themselves. However, depending
on the level of assistance that you need, there are some inexpensive
care options and ways to protect yourself from excessive long-term care
costs. Here are a few ways to find affordable long-term care:

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Compare types of care. Most Americans say they
prefer to remain in their own home as long as possible. And, in many
cases, continuing to live at home is also more affordable than paying
for the care provided in nursing homes or assisted living facilities. A
one-bedroom unit in an assisted living facility currently costs about
$3,185 each month, according to a recent Genworth Financial survey of
approximately 13,000 long-term care providers. Nursing homes cost even more:
$185 a day for a semi-private room or $206 daily for a private room,
which works out to $75,190 annually. More affordable options include
licensed home health aides, who cost a
median of $19 an hour and assist with personal care tasks such as
bathing or dressing, and licensed homemakers, who do household chores
such as cooking and cleaning for about $18 an hour. “Clearly, care at
home is going to be less expensive than any type of facility-based
care,” says Matthew Sharpe, a senior vice president and long-term care
product manager for Genworth Financial. Adult day health care, which was
by far the most inexpensive long-term care option in the survey, costs a
median of $60 a day. Seniors generally spend part of the day with
trained caregivers and peers and the rest of the day at home.

[See U.S. News's list of the Best
Mutual Funds for 2010
, and use our Mutual Fund Score to find the best
investments for you.]

Shop around. Long-term care pricing varies
considerably by location. Prices for a semi-private room in a nursing
home fluctuate between a median low of $44,165 each year in Texas and a
median high of $218,453 in Alaska. “You might want to pick somewhere
that the overall costs are lower,” says Beth Ludden, senior vice
president of long-term care product development. Expenses can also be
considerably different even within the same city. Prices for a
one-bedroom unit in an assisted living facility in the Atlanta-Sandy
Springs-Marietta, Ga., area currently range from $900 a month to $5,525.

Read more of this article.

Long Term Care Insurance:  The vagaries of pricing and quality in long term care can be somewhat mitigated if you are protected with Long Term Care Insurance.  Find out the details at NewRetirement.com.

For retirees, behavioral science is coming up short

Investment News, May 17th, 2010

While behavioral finance has helped get workers to save more for
retirement, it’s been less successful in forcing retirees to accept that
they may outlive their savings.

For example, behavioral finance has helped the retirement industry
use consumers’ behavior to boost assets saved during the accumulation
phase of retirement planning, through both automatic enrollment in
401(k) plans and automatic escalation of savings in such plans, Daniel
Goldstein, a professor at London School of Business, said during a panel
discussion held today by Allianz of America, a unit of Allianz Group,
to discuss ways in which the retirement industry can use behavioral
finance to inform retirement planning and product marketing.

It
appears that when it comes to the decumulation phase of retirement, or
the “post-retirement” phase, behavioral finance hasn’t yet been
well-deployed to help retirees understand that they may very well
outlive their retirement savings, and that a product like an annuity may
help provide guaranteed income.

Read more of this article.

Healthy retirees may end up spending more on health care because of longer lives

Financial Post, May 18th, 2010

I did a double take when I saw a release from Newark, N.J.-based
Prudential Financial today declaring that “staying healthy does not
reduce post-retirement health care costs.” Three researchers at Boston
College’s Center for Retirement Research find that although current
health care costs of healthy retirees are lower than for sick retirees,
over their remaining lifetimes the healthy actually face the prospect of
higher total health care costs.

“This counterintuitive finding suggests that those currently in good
health would be unwise to assume that they will enjoy lower-than-average
health costs throughout their retirement,” says CRR director Alicia
Munnell [pictured.]

In reality, even healthy retirees can expect to face a chronic
disease at some point, which could entail nursing home care.

The CRR, whose research was underwritten by Prudential, cites three
reasons the healthy may incur higher health care costs than sick people
over a lifetime:

1.) Those in good health can expect to live much longer, so are at
risk of incurring health care costs over more years.

2.) Many who are currently free of chronic disease will eventually
succumb to one or more of them.

3.) Those in healthy households face a higher lifetime risk of
requiring nursing home or long-term care than the unhealthy. They are
more likely to get to an advanced old age, which is when the risk of
requiring such case is greatest.

Healthy retirees can spend US$260,000 in
lifetime health care costs

A paper by Wei Sun, Anthony Webb and Natalia Zhivan provides the
illustration of a couple turning 65 in 2009, where one or both suffers
from a chronic disease. The present value of lifetime health costs for
that couple is US$220,000, including insurance premiums and nursing home
care costs. 5% can expect to spend more than US$465,000.

But a couple the same age who are free of chronic disease end up
paying US$260,000 and in the 5% case, US$570,000.

Long-term care insurance premiums rise with age

Keep in mind that one of the types of insurance Prudential markets is
long-term care insurance. The firm tries to instill a further sense of
urgency when it quotes the following from vice president of Long Term
Care Malcolm Cheung:

“Those that delay purchasing insurance until their health
declines run the risk of facing higher premiums, or for long-term care
insurance, not having access to coverage.”

From pieces I’ve written on the topic in the past, this is more or
less true. The closer you get to actually being likely to needing the
benefits, the more expensive it gets and by age 80 it may not be
possible to get at all. Premiums are relatively low when you’re healthy
and in your 40s or 50s but they start to mount up by 60. There’s
probably an optimum point there of higher risk and reasonable premiums
but in the end it’s a guess and a gamble.

Read more of this article.

Retirement Calculator:  The above article is from a Canadian publication, but that doesn’t mean the findings are any less applicable to Americans.  It is therefore critical that you approach your retirement (or the rest of your retirement) with an open mind as to your financial needs and ways to service them.  Our Retirement Calculator can help you do just that.

Roundup: Social Security is a good bargain

USA Today, May 16th, 2010

I’d like to put to rest an urban legend about
Social Security. A reader states, “If I had been allowed to invest the
same percentage in investments of my own choosing, I would be receiving
far more” (“Not ‘entitlement,’ “ Letters, Wednesday).

First, one pays a lot less into the system than
one imagines.

Second, even if one were a genius at picking
investments, don’t forget to consider how many times the market fell.
The tech bubble burst and the recent mortgage fiasco should have snapped
one’s eyes open to the fact that the markets are not that safe.

Third, one always has the ability to choose
additional investments to make. The government never prevented this.
Social Security was designed as an insurance policy, and the payroll tax
as the premiums. Your benefits come from the fact that you made the
payments. It is not an investment. Medicare was originally designed as a
pay-as-you-go program, with the premiums covering the costs.
Unfortunately, the price of health care soared beyond anything the
originators imagined. I don’t believe you could purchase any health care
policy for the same amount, let alone get decent coverage.

Read more of this article.

How Do I Buy the New Long-Term Care Insurance?

The New York Times, May 16th, 2010

I read a brief mention of one provision of the new health law:
long-term care insurance paying $50 per day. However, I’ve been unable
to find further information about that provision anywhere. Is it true?
What are the details? How does someone sign up? — Nancy Rowe
.

The new health law created an insurance program for people who are
functionally or cognitively impaired that will pay a cash benefit of $50
per day or more that can be used in a variety of ways, from paying for
home health care services to modifying a home to accommodate
disabilities. It can also be used to offset the cost of assisted living
facilities or nursing homes.

Championed by the late Senator Edward M. Kennedy, the Community
Living Assistance Services and Supports program (or Class) doesn’t
provide as much financial protection as a typical long-term care
insurance policy purchased in the private market. The Class program’s
smaller, more flexible benefit — estimated at an average $75 per day by
the Congressional Budget Office — is intended to make it easier for
people who can’t perform daily tasks like bathing and dressing to remain
independent and continue to live in their communities.

The amount of the benefit will vary depending on how impaired someone
is. But the degree of disability or impairment won’t be a factor in
setting premiums or in determining whether someone can sign up for the
program.

Read more of this article.

Long Term Care Insurance:  Even before this new government program kicks in, many companies are offering private insurance programs for Long Term Care coverage.  In some cases, these may be even more beneficial than the government-run program.  Consider your options today.

Do you want annuities in your 401(k)?

Bankrate.com, May 14th, 2010

Our government is interested in promoting retirement security for
American workers. In its recent Request for Information, the Treasury and
Department of Labor solicited answers to 39 questions about “lifetime
income options” from the financial community and the general public. As I
mentioned in my most recent blog, it sure did get an earful from all
these parties, with several hundred comments.
Some members of the public said, in essence, “Don’t mess with my
retirement money!”

Lifetime income options can mean a number of things, but many people
interpret the term to mean “annuities,” since annuities come with
guaranteed income for life.

I asked two members of the financial industry to share their opposing
views with Bankrate’s readers about including annuities in company
retirement plans, and they graciously agreed to participate.

The insurance industry perspective

Neil McKay, chief actuary at Allianz Life Insurance Company of North
America, says that over the next decade, 76 million Americans will be
retiring, and they’re going to have to have money to sustain themselves
for 20 to 30 years.

In his words:

“These Americans can no longer rely on Social Security and employer
pensions to act as the safety net for their retirement plans. This was
made clear during the recent financial crisis, as the instability of
individual retirement plans exposed consumers to a 40 percent market
downturn — a level of risk that few people can afford to bear.

“Current 401(k) plans are set up for the accumulation phase of
retirement and fail to address the income phase, which determines the
lifestyle the retiree can afford. An annuity is the only long-term
investment option that provides guaranteed income for life, and offers retirees the
flexibility to plan for expenses, including inflation or rising health
care costs. The ability for insurance companies to pool risk means
annuities are designed for stability, which is greatly needed in every
retirement portfolio.”

OK, that sounded like a commercial for annuities, and in effect
that’s what it is. The problem with annuities is that you pretty much
have to surrender a big lump sum in exchange for a fixed income, and you generally lose access to that
lump sum.

Read more of this article.

Annuity Advice for Retirement:  Annuties are being touted as the solution to many retirement worries.  Are they actually right for you however?  While Annuities offer more security than a stock-based retirement portfolio, they also offer much less in the way of average net returns.  Find out more at NewRetirement.com